Adj: random, randomly determined


The adjective “stochastic” implies the presence of a random variable; e.g. stochastic variation is variation in which at least one of the elements is a variate and a stochastic process is one wherein the system incorporates an element of randomness as opposed to a deterministic system.

—A Dictionary of Statistical Terms, 5th edition, prepared for the International Statistical Institute by F.H.C. Marriott. Published for the International Statistical Institute by Longman Scientific and Technical.

[From Ancient Greek στοχαστικός (stokhastikós), from στοχάζομαι (stokházomai, “aim at a target, guess”), from στόχος(stóhos, “an aim, a guess”).]

In probability theory, a purely stochastic system is one whose state is randomly determined, having a random probability distribution or pattern that may be analyzed statistically but may not be predicted precisely. In this regard, it can be classified as non-deterministic (i.e., “random”) so that the subsequent state of the system is determined probabilistically. Any system or process that must be analyzed using probability theory is at least partly stochastic. Stochastic systems and processes play a fundamental role in mathematical models of phenomena in many fields of science, engineering, finance, and economics.

So then,

A stochastic event or system is one that is unpredictable because of a random variable.


Mathematics: based on the theory of probability

Artificial intelligence: stochastic neural networks

Natural science


Stochastic Monte Carlo method

  • Enrico Fermi, in 1930, used a random method to calculate the properties of the newly discovered neutron
  • simulations required for the Manhattan Project

Stochastic resonance — in biological systems, introducing stochastic “noise” has been found to help improve the signal strength of the internal feedback loops for balance and other vestibular communication






Stochastic effect, or “chance effect” is one classification of radiation effects that refers to the random, statistical nature of the damage.


[Image: MDPI]


Stochastic theory of meander formation


[Image: Hydrotopics]


creativity in science (of scientists) is a constrained stochastic behaviour such that new theories in all sciences are, at least in part, the product of a stochastic process.

Computer Science
  • Stochastic ray tracing is the application of Monte Carlo simulation to the computer graphics ray tracing algorithm.

Stochastic processes may be used in music to compose a fixed piece or may be produced in performance. Stochastic music was pioneered by Iannis Xenakis, who coined the term stochastic music.

Subtractive color reproduction

A stochastic (or frequency modulated) dot pattern creates a sharper image.


[Image: Pinterest]

Language and Linguistics

Conception of grammar as probabilistic


For an entire sentence, we generate all of its possible parse trees, and then compute the probability that each of those trees will occur, using the above strategy. The preferred parse tree is the one whose probability is the maximum. [Text and Image:]

Social Sciences

Stochastic social science theory can be seen as an elaboration of a kind of ‘third axis’ in which to situate human behavior alongside the traditional ‘nature vs. nurture’ opposition.


Manufacturing processes, continuous or batch, are assumed to be stochastic processes. The process is monitored using a process control chart which plots a given process control parameter (usually many parameters are tracked simultaneously) over time. Statistical models define limit lines which define when corrective actions must be taken to bring the process back to its intended operational window.

Finance — stochastic oscillator

The financial markets use stochastic models to represent the seemingly random behaviour of assets such as stocks, commodities, relative currency prices (i.e., the price of one currency compared to that of another, such as the price of US Dollar compared to that of the Euro), and interest rates. These models are then used by quantitative analysts to value options on stock prices, bond prices, and on interest rates, see Markov models. Moreover, it is at the heart of the insurance industry.


The marketing and the changing movement of audience tastes and preferences, as well as the solicitation of and the scientific appeal of certain film and television debuts (i.e., their opening weekends, word-of-mouth, top-of- mind knowledge among surveyed groups, star name recognition and other elements of social media outreach and advertising), are determined in part by stochastic modeling.

Notable uses of the word “stochastic”

Self-slaughter, as Hamlet always says, was certainly in the cards, unless one had been out here long enough to have contemplated the will of God, observed the stochastic whimsy of the day, learned when and when not to whisper Insh’allah,” and understood how, as one perhaps might never have in England, to await, to depend upon, the ineluctable departure of what was most dear.

—2006, Thomas Pynchon, Against the Day, Vintage 2007, p. 854

In the evening, while she bathed, waiting for him to enter the bathroom as she powdered her body, he crouched over the blueprints spread between the sofas in the lounge, calculating a stochastic analysis of the Pentagon car park.

—1970, J. G. Ballard, The Atrocity Exhibition

[Ed: Tis true, I have very little comprehension of the concepts entertained above. But me likes the word, stochastic.]hackles-stochastic

The wind bloweth where it listeth, and thou hearest the sound thereof, but canst not tell whence it cometh, and whither it goeth: so is every one that is born of the Spirit.

Are you of the Spirit? Are you a stochastic system?




People are, for the most part, genuine in their understanding of events and in their efforts to execute their position, based on their current mindset and frame of reference and within their own respective circumstantial constraints. Most people are doing their best (under the circumstances). But there is a complete disconnect, one person from the other today, because we each, great and small, reside in our own little space-time (our own microcosm). This is clear when one looks at how independently (but rather less interdependently) each person operates here.

And so these videos are not about taking a side or assigning blame, but rather about gleaning mindsets: the mindsets of individuals; the mindset of institutions; and even the mindset of nations. Because where “they are” tells us about where “you are”. And you need to know where you are. Don’t worry so much about how you got here. But here you are.

Ashton Baldwin “Ash” Carter is the United States Secretary of Defense.

Joseph Francis Dunford Jr. is a United States Marine Corps general. He is currently the 19th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

General Philip M. Breedlove is a retired four-star General in the United States Air Force who served as the Commander, U.S. European Command, as well as the 17th Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) of NATO Allied Command Operations, from May 2013 until May 4, 2016.

John F. Kirby is a retired Rear Admiral in the United States Navy who has served as the Spokesperson for the United States Department of State since 2015

Mark Alexander Milley is a United States Army officer. A four-star general, he is the 39th Chief of Staff of the Army.

This is not posted to scare or to intimidate, but only to prepare. After all …

To every thing there is a season, and a time to every purpose under the heaven: A time to be born, and a time to die; a time to plant, and a time to pluck up that which is planted; A time to kill, and a time to heal; a time to break down, and a time to build up; A time to weep, and a time to laugh; a time to mourn, and a time to dance; A time to cast away stones, and a time to gather stones together; a time to embrace, and a time to refrain from embracing; A time to get, and a time to lose; a time to keep, and a time to cast away; A time to rend, and a time to sew; a time to keep silence, and a time to speak; A time to love, and a time to hate; a time of war, and a time of peace.


Skipping merrily past Cold War 2.0

Has World War III started?

No. Not by name in any event.

But the preliminary stoushes certainly have — playing out, as they are, by proxy.

What we are yet to see, apart from the isolated Turkish downing of a Russian plane a few months back, is any direct fighting between major powers. When that happens, everything changes.

But with tensions rising quickly, particularly about Syria, this may happen at any moment. No one can predict when, but it is not improbable for that to occur even before the year is out.

On October 15, 2016, the American military was taken to DEFCON 3 — i.e. the same as immediate post-9/11 level.

Though the threat of war seems to be rising, the DEFCON level indication reported by the website is only speculation. The US military do not share the actual DEFCON status  with the public for obvious security reasons.

  • The MSM is, for the first time, reporting of the risk of a third world war.
  • America says it will have the CIA launch an apparent “revenge” cyber-attack on Russia — US/NATO doctrine calls for cyber or military strike in retaliation to any cyber-attack.
  • America is talking again of establishing a “no-fly” zone in Syria (see below).
  • FAA has announced a “no-fly” zone over certain areas of Montana for a hitherto unannounced Space Operation on Saturday.
  • Third missile attack on US Warship in Yemen.
  • I.M.F. Issues “Stability Warning” Over Deutsche Bank.

As it might be put in military jargon, Iran is “fighting the whole theater.”

A request has been made to Congress to approve military strikes on Russian hardware in Syria. Furthermore, there is renewed talk of introducing a “no-fly” zone in Syria. A bit over a year ago, before Russia had entered Syria, a “no-fly” zone was certainly possible. To attempt to do that now—with the significant Russian presence in Syria (including S-300 and S-400 anti-air missiles)—would be, essentially, a declaration of war.


US Army chief Mark Milley fires terrifying threat to Russia over Syria and warns: ‘We’ll beat you anywhere, anytime’

Alex Jones may yet sound like the “Boy Who Cried Wolf”, but we know how that story ended: the boy was, ultimately, proven right.

No one can say just how quickly things will unfold. I expect that hostilities will boil over within a year, but direct conflict between the West and Russia could begin even before the end of this year.

Is this Cold War 2.0? If only? Cold War 2.0 is almost over as quickly as it started, as the preliminary machinations for a hot war have begun. Just know that the threat of war is now REAL. In fact, for all intents and purposes, we are already AT WAR. No drill. No hoax. No shill.

As the situation unfolds, what can we expect and in what order?

Armed with chapter 6 of the Book of Revelation and cross-referenced with the Olivet Discourse in the gospels (Matthew 24, Mark 13, and Luke 21), the timeline of events is layed out before us so that we can be prepared. Using the mid-tribulation sign (wonder in heaven) as our navigator, and assuming the events unfold and gain momentum with time, we can come up with a not-improbable timeline:

  1. People’s faith will wax cold (Apostasy) — [COMPLETE]
  2. Nations rising up against nations, and kingdoms against kingdoms — [IMMINENT]
  3. Earthquakes, famines, pestilence, fearful events — [STARTED/SOON]
  4. False prophets will arise (Apostasy) [ONGOING] and persecution of Christians [STARTED]
  5. Wars and Rumours (reports) of wars [STARTED]
  6. More famine and pestilence [STARTED/SOON]
  7. The spread of Jesus’ message (the Gospel) around the world [ONGOING]
  8. Antichrist — [~ SEPTEMBER 2017]
  9. World War III — [~ SEPTEMBER 2017]
  10. Inflation, shortages, rations, famine — [2018 – 2020]
  11. Widespread death, disease, plagues — [2019 – 2020]
  12. Armageddon
  • White Horse “rides out” (1), in a canter (4), and in full gallop (8).
  • Red Horse “rides out” (2), in a canter (5), and in full gallop (9).
  • Black Horse “rides out” (3), in a canter (6), and in full gallop (10)
  • Pale Horse “rides out” (3), in a canter (6), and in full gallop (11)


Amidst a backdrop of ongoing financial crisis, expect to see escalating loco-regional fighting — in fits and starts rather than a linear progression — building to full-scale global war by this time next year.

Heed the warnings that have been coming, from divergent quarters and under various guises, for some time now — and take some basic precautions and make some modest preparations. You need not be a full-blown ‘prepper’. You do need, however, to cut back on waste and have some bare essentials in store.

Stock up on the following items today, so as to get your prepper pantry ready for the next extended emergency:

  • Crackers
  • Nuts
  • Pasta sauce
  • Peanut butter
  • Flour (white, whole wheat)
  • Seasonings (vanilla, salt, pepper, paprika, cinnamon, pepper, taco seasoning, etc.)
  • Sugar
  • Dried legumes
  • Honey
  • Whole grains (barley, bulgur, cornmeal, couscous, oats, quinoa, rice, wheat berries)
  • Non-fat dried milk
  • Plant-based oil (corn oil, vegetable oil, coconut oil, olive oil)
  • Cereals
  • Pasta
  • Seeds for eating and sprouting
  • Instant potato flakes
  • Packaged meals (macaroni and cheese, hamburger helper, Ramen noodles, etc.)
  • Purified drinking water
  • Canned fruits, vegetables, meats, and soups

Featured Image

A Prepper’s Pantry – flickr

Yom Kippur and brace for War

Another look at the recent events in Syria.

It is hard to know how far off war is. Perhaps even a year, not more. Perhaps before the year is out. Ever more reason to get right with God, and right with one another.

Turn then your attention to: A Yom Kippur Guide for the Perplexed, 2016.

Let not your heart be troubled: ye believe in God, believe also in me.

It is the Day of Atonement. May you have an easy fast.